Consequences for the aviation market in Russia's aggression against Ukraine
 
More details
Hide details
1
Lotnicza Akademia Wojskowa
 
2
Uniwersytet Pomorski w Słupsku
 
 
Submission date: 2023-06-14
 
 
Final revision date: 2023-11-27
 
 
Acceptance date: 2023-11-28
 
 
Publication date: 2023-12-30
 
 
Corresponding author
Joanna Grubicka   

Uniwersytet Pomorski w Słupsku
 
 
JoMS 2023;53(4):700-713
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has led to the closure of airspace in the conflict area. This has resulted in the closure of some routes and also cut off Russia's national carrier. European Union sanctions also affect the supply of aircraft parts. The aviation industry has faced two years of significant challenges due to the Covid 19 pandemic and now the armed conflict. The purpose of this article is to examine how the civil aviation sector is doing in the war crisis. The research method used in this study focused on a conceptual and comparative approach. The results of the research analysis mapped the current effects of the war on the international aviation sector, such as the change in passenger traffic, cargo traffic, jet fuel prices and airfares, which directly affects the development of the global economy. According to the forecast of IATA - the International Air Transport Association - the current conflict will not allow aviation to quickly return to the state of 2019.
 
REFERENCES (31)
1.
Aviation Market Report. (2022). https://www.investec.com/en_gb....
 
2.
Airlines Conference. (2022). https://airleague.co.uk/previo....
 
3.
Civil War, Economic Governance & State Reconstruction in the Arab Middle East, Available. Available online 12.05.2023 https://www.jstor.org/stable/4....
 
4.
Cohen, P., Ewing, J. (2022). What’s at stake for the Global Economy as Conflict Looms.
 
5.
Dreger, Ch.&Kholodili, K.A.&Ulbricht,D., Fidrmuc, J.(2016). Between the hammer and the anvil: The impact of economic sanctions and oil prices on Russia’s ruble, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.....
 
6.
DRTL. (2022). Analiza przewozów w polskich portach lotniczych w pierwszej połowie roku 2022, Departament Rynku Transportu Lotniczego Warszawa.
 
7.
Dube, K., Nhamo, G., Chikodzi, D. (2021). COVID-19 pandemic and prospects for recovery of the global aviation industry, Journal of Air Transport Management. DOI:10.1016/j.jairtraman.2021.102022.
 
8.
Elbahnasawy, N. G., Ellis, M. A. (2022). Inflation and the Structure of Economic and Political Systems. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 60: 59–74. Available online: https://www.sciencedirect.com/....
 
9.
European Plan for Aviation Safety, https://www.easa.europa.eu/en/..., Available online: 20.12.2022 r.
 
10.
 
11.
Héjj, D. (2023).Branża lotnicza mierzy się z cenami paliw. Wzrost inflacji odbije się mocno na tym sektorze. Available online 13.06.2023 z https://serwisy.gazetaprawna.p....
 
12.
Hoffmann, M., Neuenkirch, M. (2017). The Pro-Russian Conflict and its Impact on Stock Returns in Russia and the Ukraine. International Economics and Economic Policy, 14(1), 61–73. DOI: 10.1007/s10368-015-0321-3.
 
13.
War in Ukraine and air transport, Available online: https://airlines.iata.org/anal..., Available online: 18.12.2022 r.
 
14.
Airbus, Available online: https://biznes.interia.pl/gosp..., Available online: 16.12.2022 r.
 
15.
IATA, Fuel monitor, https://www.iata.org/en/public..., Available online: 15.12.2022 r.
 
16.
IATA. Global outlook for air transport times of turbulence. Montreal: IATA Publisher; 2022 y.
 
17.
Kacperska, E. (2017). Terroryzm międzynarodowy jako problem globalny współczesnej gospodarki, Wydział Nauk Ekonomicznych SGGW w Warszawie, pp.28.
 
18.
Kopijka, W., Perepełycia, G., Politeja, (2015). Agresja Federacji Rosyjskiej na Ukrainie – skutki polityczne, prawne i gospodarcze, https://doi.org/10.12797/Polit....
 
19.
Mardones, C. (2023). Economic effects of isolating Russia from international trade due to its ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine, European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pp. 663-678.
 
20.
Stukalo, N. V., Simakhova, A. (2018). Social and economic effects of the war conflict in Ukraine for Europe, Geopolitics under Globalization, DOI: 10.21511/gg.02(1).2018.02.
 
21.
Nowakowski, Z., Rajchel, J., Szafran, H., Szafran, R. (2014). Strategia Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego Polski na tle Strategii Bezpieczeństwa Wybranych Państw, Warszawa, pp. 263-306.
 
22.
Rajchel, J., Grenda, B., Nowak, J. (2014). Bezpieczeństwo i zarządzanie kryzysowe w lotnictwie, WSOSP, Dęblin, pp. 223-260.
 
23.
Ramji-Nogales, J. (2022). Ukrainians in flight: Politics, race, and regional solutions. AJIL Unbound, p.150–154.
 
24.
Report: Global Outlook for Air Transport Times of Turbulence, IATA, June, 2022 r., https://www.globaldata.com/dat..., Available online:12.12.2022 r.
 
25.
Roubini, N. (2022). Russia’s War and the Global Economy. Available online: https://www.project-syndicate.....
 
26.
Stephen, D., Krasner & Karl W. Eikenberry. (2018). Ending Civil Wars: Constraints & Possibilities, pp. 48-63, Daedalus, Vol. 147, No. 1.
 
27.
The Western economy is slowing down because of Russia’s war with Ukraine. And this is just the beginning, Available online: https://www.bbc.com/russian/ne....
 
28.
Trzeci stopień alarmowy CRP na terenie całego kraju, https://www.gov.pl/web/rcb/trz..., Available online: 12.12.2022 r.
 
29.
War in Ukraine and Omicron Weighs on Air Cargo , link: https://www.iata.org/en/pressr..., Available online: 10.12.2022 r.
 
30.
War Sets Back the European Recovery, 2022, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, https://doi.org/10.5089/979840....
 
31.
Wasyłenko, W.(2017). Przyczyna, charakter i cel zbrojnej agresji Rosji przeciwko Ukrainie, Polonistyczno-Ukrainoznawcze Studia Naukowe. doi.org/10.15804/PPUSN.2017.03.02.
 
eISSN:2391-789X
ISSN:1734-2031
Journals System - logo
Scroll to top